Written Sunday February 19th at 6:00 PM
The district formula was released today. The official matchups will be released next Sunday. I wrote the scenarios for each team going forward. The formula will be on the bottom to take a look at.
Pontiac: The Phoenix have had a very difficult season. They
have a tough district path ahead of them in District Six. Pontiac would have a
very interesting matchup with Waterford Kettering in the pre-district. If the
Phoenix were to get past the Captains then they would have a rematch with
Waterford Mott in the district semifinals and if they somehow pull off the
upset then they would likely see Clarkston in the district finals. Either way
it’s a tough path for Pontiac in the postseason.
Ferndale University: The Eagles have a tough path ahead of
them. They are the B team in District 59 which means they will see Hazel Park
in the pre-district and if they win that game they would see arch rival Ferndale
in the district semifinals. With where they are at with the MPR this will be
the likely outcome for Ferndale University.
Avondale: The Yellow Jackets have had things very rough as
of late. They made a coaching change mid-season which can always be tough.
Avondale is the A team right now in District Six. If this holds and it could
very well be the case with the MPR standings they would play Clarkston in the
district semifinals. The Yellow Jackets have a really tough path this
postseason for sure.
Harper Woods: The Pioneers are in a very interesting race
when it comes to the MPR. They are the second seed for now but Grosse Pointe
North is right behind them. Grosse Pointe South is the top seed in District 30.
Harper Woods would play Grosse Pointe North either way if they are the two seed
or the A team in the district semifinals. Roseville and St. Clair Shores
Lakeview are locked into play each other in the pre-district. A clash with the
Norsemen is very likely no matter the outcome for the Pioneers.
Southfield Arts and Tech: The Warriors have been up and down
this season. They have a very tough district in District 26. Southfield Arts
and Tech would be the C team in the bracket which means they would play Livonia
Stevenson in the pre-district and if they can get by the Spartans then they
would play North Farmington in the district semifinals. The Warriors have a
tough path that is for sure.
Royal Oak: The Ravens have been improving as a program but
the postseason is another animal where this program needs to take the next step.
Royal Oak is the D team in District 25 which means they would have a really
difficult matchup with Detroit Renaissance in the pre-district. If they somehow
get by the Phoenix then they would play Oak Park in the district semifinals. It’s
going to be a tough path for Royal Oak but if they are executing at a high
level then maybe there is always a chance.
Troy Athens: The Red Hawks are in a battle for the second
seed in District 28 with Utica. If Troy Athens can keep the second seed they
would play Sterling Heights Stevenson in the district semifinals but if Utica
passes them then they would be the B team and play Utica Ford II in the
pre-district which would mean they would play arch rival Troy in the district
semifinals pending if they can get by the Falcons. The Red Hawks would like
that second seed which would mean a much easier matchup with Sterling Heights
Stevenson then having to play in the pre-district and deal with your arch rival
in the district semifinals.
Seaholm: The Maples will have things very tough this
postseason. They are the B team in District 28 which means they would play arch
rival Groves in the pre-district. If Seaholm can get by Groves then they would
see Birmingham Brother Rice whom is the top seed in the district semifinals.
This is a very tough path for the Maples if they want to make some noise in
this district.
Oxford: The Wildcats have a very difficult path ahead of
them. They are right now the C team in District Four but if they win out they
have an outside chance of catching Davison for the second seed. Oxford will
play Lapeer in the pre-district with the winner playing top seed Grand Blanc in
the district semifinals. It’s going to be a very tough path for sure for the
Wildcats.
Berkley: The Bears have been a very odd team to figure out.
If things hold despite having home court they are the A team in District 25
which means they would play Detroit Mumford in the pre-district. If Berkley
gets by the Mustangs they would play Detroit-University-Detroit Jesuit in the
district semifinals. It will be a tough matchup for the Bears but they have
home court which helps. Berkley is the wildcard in this district that is for
sure.
Rochester: The Falcons are in a very interesting spot in
District Five. If Lake Orion were to get the two seed they would be the A team
and play Stoney Creek in the pre-district however if Utica Eisenhower were to
get the second seed then they would be the B team and play Lake Orion which is
a much tougher matchup. Either way Rochester is likely playing in pre-district
but the opponent is to be determined.
Stoney Creek: The Cougars have had a really rough year this season but things could change with the postseason. Stoney Creek is in a very interesting spot in District Five. They won’t
be seeded which means they would play in the pre-district no matter what happens. The Cougars are the
C team which means they would play Rochester if Lake Orion is the second seed. If
Utica Eisenhower is the second seed then they would play Romeo in the
pre-district. Either way for Stoney Creek it’s a difficult matchup to say the
least
Groves: The Falcons have had a very good year for Coach Marc West.
Their postseason path is very challenging. They are the A team in District 28
which means they would rematch arch rival Seaholm in the pre-district. If they
win that game then they would play Birmingham Brother Rice in the district
semifinals which is a very tall task. It’s going to be a tall order for Groves
but they could be a dangerous team for Birmingham Brother Rice in the district
semifinals for sure.
Farmington: The Falcons are much better than their record
indicates and that makes them a very dangerous team come this postseason. They would be the A team in
District 26 which would mean they would play Detroit Henry Ford in the district
semifinals. If they can win that game then they would have a rematch with arch
rival North Farmington in the district finals. I don’t see the Falcons passing
Detroit Henry Ford for the second seed so this would be the likely
matchup unless things change which seems very unlikely.
Lake Orion: The Dragons are in a very complex spot when it
comes to the postseason. They are the two seed right now but that could change
if Utica Eisenhower passes them for the two seed. The Dragons would receive the bye if this pans
out which means they would see either Utica Eisenhower or Romeo in the district
semifinals. However if the Eagles pass them they would be the A team and play
Rochester in the pre-district with the winner playing Adams in the district
semifinals. There is a lot to play for, for Lake Orion especially with some
monster games coming up.
West Bloomfield: The Lakers have had a big turnaround this
season. The district could be a very tall task for West Bloomfield. They are
the D team in District 28 which means they would have a rematch with Bloomfield
Hills. If they can win that game then they would play Orchard Lake St. Marys in
the district semifinals. I like this path for the Lakers if they can knock off
Bloomfield Hills which they have already done on their home floor and I’m not
real trustworthy of the Eaglets in the postseason.
Bloomfield Hills: The Blackhawks have been up and down
recently. Bloomfield Hills is in a very tough district despite having home
court. They likely won’t be seeded which means they are the C team in District
28 where they will rematch West Bloomfield in the pre-district. If they can
beat the Lakers then they would play Orchard Lake St. Marys in the district
semifinals and if they win that game they would clash with Birmingham Brother
Rice in the district finals. Like West Bloomfield, I like the Blackhawks path
pending if they can get by the Lakers. It's really hard for me to trust the Eaglets
this postseason with their distractions. Expect Noah Adamcyzk to make a ton of
noise on his home court.
Troy: The Colts have the top seed in District 28 all but
locked up. Troy will likely see either Utica Ford II or Utica/Troy Athens in
the district semifinals. The Colts matchup very well in this district. Either
way Troy is in a great position to do well although Utica could be an issue but
not likely at the moment.
Adams: The Highlanders look like they will have the top seed
in District Five but if they keep losing then watch for Utica Eisenhower and
Lake Orion. If things hold to where they stand, Adams would play either Rochester or Stoney Creek
in the district semifinals. However if they let the Eagles or Dragons pass them
then things could get very interesting. Adams would be the two seed if they get
passed or they would be the B team in the district if both teams pass them and
would have to play in the pre-district. There is a lot to play for Adams but if
they keep winning then the top seed in the district is theirs.
Clarkston: The Wolves have home court in District Six and
have the top seed all but locked up. If this were the case which it likely will be they would play
Avondale in the district semifinals and should they win that game they will have that rematch with
Waterford Mott in the district finals. I don’t really see Clarkston getting jumped by
Waterford Mott like they were but then again Wolves fans know what happened
last season.
Oak Park: The Knights are in a battle with Detroit
Renaissance for the second seed in District 25. They hold that seed at the
moment which means they would play Detroit Renaissance or Royal Oak in the
district semifinals. If the Phoenix pass them then they would be the C team and
play Royal Oak in the pre-district. Oak Park looks very good for the
second seed which should help them. This is a program that wants Detroit
University-Detroit Jesuit in the worst way possible. Could this be the year
that the Knights get the Cubs??? We’ll see.
Ferndale: The Eagles postseason path looks very secure with
where they are at in the MPR. They would be locked into the top seed in District
59. Ferndale would play either Ferndale University or Hazel Park in the district
semifinals. If they can win that game then they would likely see Detroit Old Redford in the district finals. Either
way this is a great path for the Eagles in the postseason.
North Farmington: The Raiders are the top team in the MPR,
have home court, and have the top seed locked up in District 26. There likely
won’t be any changes which means they would see either Southfield Arts and Tech
or Livonia Stevenson in the district semifinals and if they win that they could
see Detroit Henry Ford or Farmington in the district finals. North Farmington
is in a really good spot to make some noise in the postseason.
Here is the MPR formula for Boys Basketball.
https://www.mhsaa.com/sites/default/files/MPR/2022-23/2022-23%20FINAL%20BBB.pdf